◆
MPFC
⚙
WED, OCT 21
Int. Friendlies · 2026
CHI v MAL
China›
vs
Sat, Nov 14 · 12:00 PM UTC
Malaysia›
Match context
Int. Friendlies

Start with the competition and phase, then use form and the model to understand how the teams arrived here.

Model view
14%
23%
63%
CHIDrawMAL
expected goals
0.77–1.86
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
CHI ↓MAL →
012340
7
13
12
8
4
1
6
10
10
6
3
2
2
4
4
2
1
3
1
1
1
1
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
CHI
ATT XG-2.03
DEF XGA-1.48
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
MAL
ATT XG0.00
DEF XGA0.00
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
Int. Friendlies · 2026
CHI v MAL
China›
vs
Sat, Nov 14 · 12:00 PM UTC
Malaysia›
Match context
Int. Friendlies

Start with the competition and phase, then use form and the model to understand how the teams arrived here.

Model view
14%
23%
63%
CHIDrawMAL
expected goals
0.77–1.86
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
CHI ↓MAL →
012340
7
13
12
8
4
1
6
10
10
6
3
2
2
4
4
2
1
3
1
1
1
1
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
CHI
ATT XG-2.03
DEF XGA-1.48
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
MAL
ATT XG0.00
DEF XGA0.00
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG