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MPFC
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WED, OCT 21
UEFA Nations League · League phase · 2026
BOS v ROM
Bosnia-Herzegovina›
vs
Tue, Nov 17 · 07:45 PM UTC
Romania›
What is at stake
UEFA Nations League is part of the road to the next World Cup.

Qualification is built across several international windows, so this match is one step in a longer campaign rather than a standalone event.

Model view
72%
16%
12%
BOSDrawROM
expected goals
2.69–1.01
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
BOS ↓ROM →
012340
2
2
1
0
0
1
7
7
3
1
0
2
9
9
5
2
0
3
8
8
4
1
0
4
5
5
3
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
BOS
ATT XG-0.28
DEF XGA-0.16
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
ROM
ATT XG-1.53
DEF XGA-1.23
FORM-1.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
UEFA Nations League · League phase · 2026
BOS v ROM
Bosnia-Herzegovina›
vs
Tue, Nov 17 · 07:45 PM UTC
Romania›
What is at stake
UEFA Nations League is part of the road to the next World Cup.

Qualification is built across several international windows, so this match is one step in a longer campaign rather than a standalone event.

Model view
72%
16%
12%
BOSDrawROM
expected goals
2.69–1.01
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
BOS ↓ROM →
012340
2
2
1
0
0
1
7
7
3
1
0
2
9
9
5
2
0
3
8
8
4
1
0
4
5
5
3
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
BOS
ATT XG-0.28
DEF XGA-0.16
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
ROM
ATT XG-1.53
DEF XGA-1.23
FORM-1.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG