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MPFC
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WED, OCT 21
Copa Libertadores · Semifinals · 2026
FLA v EDL
Recognise Flamengo’s players →Recognise Estudiantes de La Plata’s players →
Flamengo›
vs
Fri, Oct 23 · Kickoff time unverified
Estudiantes de La Plata›
What is at stake
Copa Libertadores connects clubs from different domestic leagues.

Check the phase before reading the score: league-phase points, two-leg aggregate scores and one-match knockouts create different incentives.

Model view
63%
25%
12%
FLADrawEDL
expected goals
1.64–0.55
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
FLA ↓EDL →
012340
11
6
2
0
0
1
18
10
3
1
0
2
15
8
2
0
0
3
8
5
1
0
0
4
3
2
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
FLA
ATT XG+1.22
DEF XGA+2.80
FORM+0.67
AVAIL0.00
EDL
ATT XG-0.50
DEF XGA+1.61
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
Copa Libertadores · Semifinals · 2026
FLA v EDL
Recognise Flamengo’s players →Recognise Estudiantes de La Plata’s players →
Flamengo›
vs
Fri, Oct 23 · Kickoff time unverified
Estudiantes de La Plata›
What is at stake
Copa Libertadores connects clubs from different domestic leagues.

Check the phase before reading the score: league-phase points, two-leg aggregate scores and one-match knockouts create different incentives.

Model view
63%
25%
12%
FLADrawEDL
expected goals
1.64–0.55
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
FLA ↓EDL →
012340
11
6
2
0
0
1
18
10
3
1
0
2
15
8
2
0
0
3
8
5
1
0
0
4
3
2
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
FLA
ATT XG+1.22
DEF XGA+2.80
FORM+0.67
AVAIL0.00
EDL
ATT XG-0.50
DEF XGA+1.61
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG