◆
MPFC
⚙
WED, OCT 21
Europa League · League phase · 2026-27
NC v OLY
Recognise NK Celje’s players →Recognise Olympiacos’s players →
NK Celje›
vs
Thu, Dec 10 · 08:00 PM UTC
Olympiacos›
What is at stake
Europa League connects clubs from different domestic leagues.

Check the phase before reading the score: league-phase points, two-leg aggregate scores and one-match knockouts create different incentives.

Model view
9%
26%
65%
NCDrawOLY
expected goals
0.42–1.56
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
NC ↓OLY →
012340
14
22
17
9
3
1
6
9
7
4
1
2
1
2
1
1
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
NC
ATT XG-2.32
DEF XGA-1.67
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
OLY
ATT XG-0.67
DEF XGA+1.65
FORM+0.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
Europa League · League phase · 2026-27
NC v OLY
Recognise NK Celje’s players →Recognise Olympiacos’s players →
NK Celje›
vs
Thu, Dec 10 · 08:00 PM UTC
Olympiacos›
What is at stake
Europa League connects clubs from different domestic leagues.

Check the phase before reading the score: league-phase points, two-leg aggregate scores and one-match knockouts create different incentives.

Model view
9%
26%
65%
NCDrawOLY
expected goals
0.42–1.56
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
NC ↓OLY →
012340
14
22
17
9
3
1
6
9
7
4
1
2
1
2
1
1
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
NC
ATT XG-2.32
DEF XGA-1.67
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
OLY
ATT XG-0.67
DEF XGA+1.65
FORM+0.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG