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MPFC
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WED, OCT 21
Europa League · League phase · 2026-27
LP v FER
Recognise Lech Poznan’s players →Recognise Ferencvaros’s players →
Lech Poznan›
vs
Thu, Dec 10 · 08:00 PM UTC
Ferencvaros›
What is at stake
Europa League connects clubs from different domestic leagues.

Check the phase before reading the score: league-phase points, two-leg aggregate scores and one-match knockouts create different incentives.

Model view
5%
13%
82%
LPDrawFER
expected goals
0.61–2.79
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
LP ↓FER →
012340
3
9
13
12
8
1
2
6
8
7
5
2
1
2
2
2
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
LP
ATT XG-2.32
DEF XGA-5.15
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
FER
ATT XG-0.17
DEF XGA+0.16
FORM+1.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
Europa League · League phase · 2026-27
LP v FER
Recognise Lech Poznan’s players →Recognise Ferencvaros’s players →
Lech Poznan›
vs
Thu, Dec 10 · 08:00 PM UTC
Ferencvaros›
What is at stake
Europa League connects clubs from different domestic leagues.

Check the phase before reading the score: league-phase points, two-leg aggregate scores and one-match knockouts create different incentives.

Model view
5%
13%
82%
LPDrawFER
expected goals
0.61–2.79
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
LP ↓FER →
012340
3
9
13
12
8
1
2
6
8
7
5
2
1
2
2
2
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
LP
ATT XG-2.32
DEF XGA-5.15
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
FER
ATT XG-0.17
DEF XGA+0.16
FORM+1.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG