◆
MPFC
⚙
WED, OCT 21
Europa League · League phase · 2026-27
SLB v OC
Recognise Benfica’s players →Recognise OFI CRETE’s players →
Benfica›
vs
Thu, Dec 10 · 08:00 PM UTC
OFI CRETE›
What is at stake
Europa League connects clubs from different domestic leagues.

Check the phase before reading the score: league-phase points, two-leg aggregate scores and one-match knockouts create different incentives.

Model view
53%
27%
20%
SLBDrawOC
expected goals
1.57–0.87
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
SLB ↓OC →
012340
9
8
3
1
0
1
14
12
5
2
0
2
11
9
4
1
0
3
6
5
2
1
0
4
2
2
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
SLB
ATT XG+1.42
DEF XGA+1.54
FORM+1.00
AVAIL0.00
OC
ATT XG-0.45
DEF XGA+1.90
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
Europa League · League phase · 2026-27
SLB v OC
Recognise Benfica’s players →Recognise OFI CRETE’s players →
Benfica›
vs
Thu, Dec 10 · 08:00 PM UTC
OFI CRETE›
What is at stake
Europa League connects clubs from different domestic leagues.

Check the phase before reading the score: league-phase points, two-leg aggregate scores and one-match knockouts create different incentives.

Model view
53%
27%
20%
SLBDrawOC
expected goals
1.57–0.87
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
SLB ↓OC →
012340
9
8
3
1
0
1
14
12
5
2
0
2
11
9
4
1
0
3
6
5
2
1
0
4
2
2
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
SLB
ATT XG+1.42
DEF XGA+1.54
FORM+1.00
AVAIL0.00
OC
ATT XG-0.45
DEF XGA+1.90
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG