◆
MPFC
⚙
WED, OCT 21
Europa League · League phase · 2026-27
JB v CP
Jagiellonia Bialystok›
vs
Thu, Dec 10 · 05:45 PM UTC
Crystal Palace›
What is at stake
Europa League connects clubs from different domestic leagues.

Check the phase before reading the score: league-phase points, two-leg aggregate scores and one-match knockouts create different incentives.

Model view
42%
24%
34%
JBDrawCP
expected goals
1.81–1.60
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
JB ↓CP →
012340
3
5
4
2
1
1
6
10
8
4
2
2
5
9
7
4
1
3
3
5
4
2
1
4
1
2
2
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
JB
ATT XG+0.05
DEF XGA-0.72
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
CP
ATT XG-0.09
DEF XGA+0.07
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
Europa League · League phase · 2026-27
JB v CP
Jagiellonia Bialystok›
vs
Thu, Dec 10 · 05:45 PM UTC
Crystal Palace›
What is at stake
Europa League connects clubs from different domestic leagues.

Check the phase before reading the score: league-phase points, two-leg aggregate scores and one-match knockouts create different incentives.

Model view
42%
24%
34%
JBDrawCP
expected goals
1.81–1.60
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
JB ↓CP →
012340
3
5
4
2
1
1
6
10
8
4
2
2
5
9
7
4
1
3
3
5
4
2
1
4
1
2
2
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
JB
ATT XG+0.05
DEF XGA-0.72
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
CP
ATT XG-0.09
DEF XGA+0.07
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG