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MPFC
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WED, OCT 21
Europa League · League phase · 2026-27
TOR v CEL
Torreense›
vs
Thu, Nov 26 · 08:00 PM UTC
Celtic›
What is at stake
Europa League connects clubs from different domestic leagues.

Check the phase before reading the score: league-phase points, two-leg aggregate scores and one-match knockouts create different incentives.

Model view
70%
17%
13%
TORDrawCEL
expected goals
2.74–1.17
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
TOR ↓CEL →
012340
2
2
1
1
0
1
5
6
4
1
0
2
8
9
5
2
1
3
7
8
5
2
1
4
5
6
3
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
TOR
ATT XG+0.38
DEF XGA+0.96
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
CEL
ATT XG+0.03
DEF XGA-1.83
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
Europa League · League phase · 2026-27
TOR v CEL
Torreense›
vs
Thu, Nov 26 · 08:00 PM UTC
Celtic›
What is at stake
Europa League connects clubs from different domestic leagues.

Check the phase before reading the score: league-phase points, two-leg aggregate scores and one-match knockouts create different incentives.

Model view
70%
17%
13%
TORDrawCEL
expected goals
2.74–1.17
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
TOR ↓CEL →
012340
2
2
1
1
0
1
5
6
4
1
0
2
8
9
5
2
1
3
7
8
5
2
1
4
5
6
3
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
TOR
ATT XG+0.38
DEF XGA+0.96
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
CEL
ATT XG+0.03
DEF XGA-1.83
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG