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MPFC
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WED, OCT 21
Europa League · League phase · 2026-27
VP v SLB
Recognise Viktoria Plzen’s players →Recognise Benfica’s players →
Viktoria Plzen›
vs
Thu, Nov 26 · 05:45 PM UTC
Benfica›
What is at stake
Europa League connects clubs from different domestic leagues.

Check the phase before reading the score: league-phase points, two-leg aggregate scores and one-match knockouts create different incentives.

Model view
21%
27%
52%
VPDrawSLB
expected goals
0.90–1.57
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
VP ↓SLB →
012340
8
13
10
5
2
1
8
12
9
5
2
2
3
5
4
2
1
3
1
2
1
1
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
VP
ATT XG-0.99
DEF XGA+1.11
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
SLB
ATT XG+1.43
DEF XGA+1.55
FORM+1.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
Europa League · League phase · 2026-27
VP v SLB
Recognise Viktoria Plzen’s players →Recognise Benfica’s players →
Viktoria Plzen›
vs
Thu, Nov 26 · 05:45 PM UTC
Benfica›
What is at stake
Europa League connects clubs from different domestic leagues.

Check the phase before reading the score: league-phase points, two-leg aggregate scores and one-match knockouts create different incentives.

Model view
21%
27%
52%
VPDrawSLB
expected goals
0.90–1.57
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
VP ↓SLB →
012340
8
13
10
5
2
1
8
12
9
5
2
2
3
5
4
2
1
3
1
2
1
1
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
VP
ATT XG-0.99
DEF XGA+1.11
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
SLB
ATT XG+1.43
DEF XGA+1.55
FORM+1.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG