◆
MPFC
⚙
WED, OCT 21
Europa League · League phase · 2026-27
OLY v MIL
Recognise Olympiacos’s players →Recognise Milan’s players →
Olympiacos›
vs
Thu, Nov 26 · 05:45 PM UTC
Milan›
What is at stake
Europa League connects clubs from different domestic leagues.

Check the phase before reading the score: league-phase points, two-leg aggregate scores and one-match knockouts create different incentives.

Model view
39%
30%
31%
OLYDrawMIL
expected goals
1.23–1.08
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
OLY ↓MIL →
012340
10
11
6
2
1
1
12
13
7
3
1
2
8
8
4
2
0
3
3
3
2
1
0
4
1
1
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
OLY
ATT XG-0.67
DEF XGA+1.65
FORM+0.67
AVAIL0.00
MIL
ATT XG+0.41
DEF XGA+0.81
FORM+0.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
Europa League · League phase · 2026-27
OLY v MIL
Recognise Olympiacos’s players →Recognise Milan’s players →
Olympiacos›
vs
Thu, Nov 26 · 05:45 PM UTC
Milan›
What is at stake
Europa League connects clubs from different domestic leagues.

Check the phase before reading the score: league-phase points, two-leg aggregate scores and one-match knockouts create different incentives.

Model view
39%
30%
31%
OLYDrawMIL
expected goals
1.23–1.08
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
OLY ↓MIL →
012340
10
11
6
2
1
1
12
13
7
3
1
2
8
8
4
2
0
3
3
3
2
1
0
4
1
1
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
OLY
ATT XG-0.67
DEF XGA+1.65
FORM+0.67
AVAIL0.00
MIL
ATT XG+0.41
DEF XGA+0.81
FORM+0.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG