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MPFC
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WED, OCT 21
Europa League · League phase · 2026-27
BES v HB
Recognise Besiktas’s players →Recognise Hapoel Be'er’s players →
Besiktas›
vs
Thu, Nov 26 · 05:45 PM UTC
Hapoel Be'er›
What is at stake
Europa League connects clubs from different domestic leagues.

Check the phase before reading the score: league-phase points, two-leg aggregate scores and one-match knockouts create different incentives.

Model view
74%
18%
8%
BESDrawHB
expected goals
2.30–0.67
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
BES ↓HB →
012340
5
3
1
0
0
1
12
8
3
1
0
2
14
9
3
1
0
3
10
7
2
1
0
4
6
4
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
BES
ATT XG+3.27
DEF XGA+0.65
FORM+0.67
AVAIL0.00
HB
ATT XG-1.65
DEF XGA+1.69
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
Europa League · League phase · 2026-27
BES v HB
Recognise Besiktas’s players →Recognise Hapoel Be'er’s players →
Besiktas›
vs
Thu, Nov 26 · 05:45 PM UTC
Hapoel Be'er›
What is at stake
Europa League connects clubs from different domestic leagues.

Check the phase before reading the score: league-phase points, two-leg aggregate scores and one-match knockouts create different incentives.

Model view
74%
18%
8%
BESDrawHB
expected goals
2.30–0.67
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
BES ↓HB →
012340
5
3
1
0
0
1
12
8
3
1
0
2
14
9
3
1
0
3
10
7
2
1
0
4
6
4
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
BES
ATT XG+3.27
DEF XGA+0.65
FORM+0.67
AVAIL0.00
HB
ATT XG-1.65
DEF XGA+1.69
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG