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MPFC
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WED, OCT 21
Europa League · League phase · 2026-27
AND v RS
Recognise Anderlecht’s players →Recognise RB Salzburg’s players →
Anderlecht›
vs
Thu, Nov 5 · 05:45 PM UTC
RB Salzburg›
What is at stake
Europa League connects clubs from different domestic leagues.

Check the phase before reading the score: league-phase points, two-leg aggregate scores and one-match knockouts create different incentives.

Model view
31%
31%
38%
ANDDrawRS
expected goals
0.98–1.13
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
AND ↓RS →
012340
12
14
8
3
1
1
12
13
8
3
1
2
6
7
4
1
0
3
2
2
1
0
0
4
0
1
0
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
AND
ATT XG-1.93
DEF XGA-0.18
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
RS
ATT XG-0.87
DEF XGA-0.91
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
Europa League · League phase · 2026-27
AND v RS
Recognise Anderlecht’s players →Recognise RB Salzburg’s players →
Anderlecht›
vs
Thu, Nov 5 · 05:45 PM UTC
RB Salzburg›
What is at stake
Europa League connects clubs from different domestic leagues.

Check the phase before reading the score: league-phase points, two-leg aggregate scores and one-match knockouts create different incentives.

Model view
31%
31%
38%
ANDDrawRS
expected goals
0.98–1.13
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
AND ↓RS →
012340
12
14
8
3
1
1
12
13
8
3
1
2
6
7
4
1
0
3
2
2
1
0
0
4
0
1
0
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
AND
ATT XG-1.93
DEF XGA-0.18
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
RS
ATT XG-0.87
DEF XGA-0.91
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG