◆
MPFC
⚙
WED, OCT 21
Europa League · League phase · 2026-27
VP v LS
Recognise Viktoria Plzen’s players →Recognise Levski Sofia’s players →
Viktoria Plzen›
vs
Thu, Oct 22 · 07:00 PM UTC
Levski Sofia›
What is at stake
Europa League connects clubs from different domestic leagues.

Check the phase before reading the score: league-phase points, two-leg aggregate scores and one-match knockouts create different incentives.

Model view
47%
35%
18%
VPDrawLS
expected goals
1.04–0.51
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
VP ↓LS →
012340
21
11
3
0
0
1
22
11
3
0
0
2
11
6
1
0
0
3
4
2
1
0
0
4
1
1
0
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
VP
ATT XG-0.98
DEF XGA+1.11
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
LS
ATT XG-1.95
DEF XGA+1.03
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
Europa League · League phase · 2026-27
VP v LS
Recognise Viktoria Plzen’s players →Recognise Levski Sofia’s players →
Viktoria Plzen›
vs
Thu, Oct 22 · 07:00 PM UTC
Levski Sofia›
What is at stake
Europa League connects clubs from different domestic leagues.

Check the phase before reading the score: league-phase points, two-leg aggregate scores and one-match knockouts create different incentives.

Model view
47%
35%
18%
VPDrawLS
expected goals
1.04–0.51
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
VP ↓LS →
012340
21
11
3
0
0
1
22
11
3
0
0
2
11
6
1
0
0
3
4
2
1
0
0
4
1
1
0
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
VP
ATT XG-0.98
DEF XGA+1.11
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
LS
ATT XG-1.95
DEF XGA+1.03
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG