◆
MPFC
⚙
WED, OCT 21
Europa League · League phase · 2026-27
TH v OL
TSG Hoffenheim›
vs
Thu, Oct 22 · 07:00 PM UTC
Olympique Lyonnais›
What is at stake
Europa League connects clubs from different domestic leagues.

Check the phase before reading the score: league-phase points, two-leg aggregate scores and one-match knockouts create different incentives.

Model view
38%
24%
38%
THDrawOL
expected goals
1.66–1.64
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
TH ↓OL →
012340
4
6
5
3
1
1
6
10
8
5
2
2
5
8
7
4
2
3
3
5
4
2
1
4
1
2
2
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
TH
ATT XG+0.29
DEF XGA-0.49
FORM-1.00
AVAIL0.00
OL
ATT XG+0.15
DEF XGA+0.77
FORM+1.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
Europa League · League phase · 2026-27
TH v OL
TSG Hoffenheim›
vs
Thu, Oct 22 · 07:00 PM UTC
Olympique Lyonnais›
What is at stake
Europa League connects clubs from different domestic leagues.

Check the phase before reading the score: league-phase points, two-leg aggregate scores and one-match knockouts create different incentives.

Model view
38%
24%
38%
THDrawOL
expected goals
1.66–1.64
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
TH ↓OL →
012340
4
6
5
3
1
1
6
10
8
5
2
2
5
8
7
4
2
3
3
5
4
2
1
4
1
2
2
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
TH
ATT XG+0.29
DEF XGA-0.49
FORM-1.00
AVAIL0.00
OL
ATT XG+0.15
DEF XGA+0.77
FORM+1.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG