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MPFC
⚙
WED, OCT 21
Europa League · League phase · 2026-27
AB v MIL
Recognise AFC Bournemouth’s players →Recognise Milan’s players →
AFC Bournemouth›
vs
Thu, Oct 22 · 07:00 PM UTC
Milan›
What is at stake
Europa League connects clubs from different domestic leagues.

Check the phase before reading the score: league-phase points, two-leg aggregate scores and one-match knockouts create different incentives.

Model view
45%
24%
31%
ABDrawMIL
expected goals
1.77–1.44
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
AB ↓MIL →
012340
4
6
4
2
1
1
7
10
7
4
1
2
6
9
7
3
1
3
4
5
4
2
1
4
2
2
2
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
AB
ATT XG+0.59
DEF XGA+0.50
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
MIL
ATT XG+0.41
DEF XGA+0.81
FORM+0.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
Europa League · League phase · 2026-27
AB v MIL
Recognise AFC Bournemouth’s players →Recognise Milan’s players →
AFC Bournemouth›
vs
Thu, Oct 22 · 07:00 PM UTC
Milan›
What is at stake
Europa League connects clubs from different domestic leagues.

Check the phase before reading the score: league-phase points, two-leg aggregate scores and one-match knockouts create different incentives.

Model view
45%
24%
31%
ABDrawMIL
expected goals
1.77–1.44
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
AB ↓MIL →
012340
4
6
4
2
1
1
7
10
7
4
1
2
6
9
7
3
1
3
4
5
4
2
1
4
2
2
2
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
AB
ATT XG+0.59
DEF XGA+0.50
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
MIL
ATT XG+0.41
DEF XGA+0.81
FORM+0.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG