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MPFC
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WED, OCT 21
Europa League · League phase · 2026-27
DZ v NN
Recognise Dinamo Zagreb’s players →Recognise NEC Nijmegen’s players →
Dinamo Zagreb›
vs
Thu, Oct 22 · 04:45 PM UTC
NEC Nijmegen›
What is at stake
Europa League connects clubs from different domestic leagues.

Check the phase before reading the score: league-phase points, two-leg aggregate scores and one-match knockouts create different incentives.

Model view
35%
25%
40%
DZDrawNN
expected goals
1.52–1.65
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
DZ ↓NN →
012340
4
7
6
3
1
1
6
11
9
5
2
2
5
8
7
4
1
3
2
4
3
2
1
4
1
2
1
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
DZ
ATT XG-0.89
DEF XGA-0.88
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
NN
ATT XG-0.08
DEF XGA-0.59
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
Europa League · League phase · 2026-27
DZ v NN
Recognise Dinamo Zagreb’s players →Recognise NEC Nijmegen’s players →
Dinamo Zagreb›
vs
Thu, Oct 22 · 04:45 PM UTC
NEC Nijmegen›
What is at stake
Europa League connects clubs from different domestic leagues.

Check the phase before reading the score: league-phase points, two-leg aggregate scores and one-match knockouts create different incentives.

Model view
35%
25%
40%
DZDrawNN
expected goals
1.52–1.65
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
DZ ↓NN →
012340
4
7
6
3
1
1
6
11
9
5
2
2
5
8
7
4
1
3
2
4
3
2
1
4
1
2
1
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
DZ
ATT XG-0.89
DEF XGA-0.88
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
NN
ATT XG-0.08
DEF XGA-0.59
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG