Europa League · League phase · 2026-27
What happened
Stade Rennais 2–1 OFI CRETE.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
SRDrawOC
expected goals
0.70–1.42
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 18% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
SR ↓OC →
012340
12
17
12
6
2
18
12
8
4
1
23
4
3
1
0
31
1
1
0
0
40
0
0
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
SR
ATT XG+0.36
DEF XGA-0.15
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
OC
ATT XG-0.45
DEF XGA+1.90
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG