Europa League · League phase · 2026-27
What happened
Olympique Marseille 0–1 Olympiacos.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
OMDrawOLY
expected goals
1.55–1.05
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 25% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
OM ↓OLY →
012340
7
8
4
1
0
112
12
6
2
1
29
9
5
2
0
35
5
3
1
0
42
2
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
OM
ATT XG+0.35
DEF XGA+0.32
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
OLY
ATT XG-0.67
DEF XGA+1.65
FORM+0.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG