Europa League · League phase · 2026-27
What happened
Union St.-Gilloise 1–1 Real Sociedad.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
USDrawRS
expected goals
2.06–1.30
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 22% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
US ↓RS →
012340
3
5
3
1
0
17
9
6
3
1
27
10
6
3
1
35
7
4
2
1
43
3
2
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
US
ATT XG-0.10
DEF XGA+0.59
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
RS
ATT XG+0.15
DEF XGA-0.16
FORM+0.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG