Europa League · League phase · 2026-27
What happened
Torreense 1–2 Sunderland.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
TORDrawSUN
expected goals
1.81–1.00
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 20% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
TOR ↓SUN →
012340
6
6
3
1
0
111
11
5
2
0
210
10
5
2
0
36
6
3
1
0
43
3
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
TOR
ATT XG+0.38
DEF XGA+0.96
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
SUN
ATT XG-0.68
DEF XGA+0.46
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG