Europa League · League phase · 2026-27
What happened
Sparta Prague 1–1 Lillestrom.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
SPDrawLIL
expected goals
2.56–1.16
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 18% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
SP ↓LIL →
012340
2
3
2
1
0
16
7
4
2
0
28
9
5
2
1
37
8
5
2
1
44
5
3
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals