◆
MPFC
⚙
WED, OCT 21
Champions League · League phase · 2026-27
FP v SP
Recognise FC Porto’s players →Recognise Slavia Prague’s players →
FC Porto›
vs
Tue, Jan 19 · 08:00 PM UTC
Slavia Prague›
What is at stake
Champions League connects clubs from different domestic leagues.

Check the phase before reading the score: league-phase points, two-leg aggregate scores and one-match knockouts create different incentives.

Model view
89%
8%
3%
FPDrawSP
expected goals
3.53–0.59
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
FP ↓SP →
012340
2
1
0
0
0
1
6
3
1
0
0
2
10
6
2
0
0
3
12
7
2
0
0
4
11
6
2
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
FP
ATT XG+0.69
DEF XGA+1.57
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
SP
ATT XG-1.44
DEF XGA-2.41
FORM-1.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
Champions League · League phase · 2026-27
FP v SP
Recognise FC Porto’s players →Recognise Slavia Prague’s players →
FC Porto›
vs
Tue, Jan 19 · 08:00 PM UTC
Slavia Prague›
What is at stake
Champions League connects clubs from different domestic leagues.

Check the phase before reading the score: league-phase points, two-leg aggregate scores and one-match knockouts create different incentives.

Model view
89%
8%
3%
FPDrawSP
expected goals
3.53–0.59
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
FP ↓SP →
012340
2
1
0
0
0
1
6
3
1
0
0
2
10
6
2
0
0
3
12
7
2
0
0
4
11
6
2
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
FP
ATT XG+0.69
DEF XGA+1.57
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
SP
ATT XG-1.44
DEF XGA-2.41
FORM-1.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG