◆
MPFC
⚙
WED, OCT 21
Champions League · League phase · 2026-27
BOD v AM
Recognise Bodo/Glimt’s players →Recognise Atlético Madrid’s players →
Bodo/Glimt›
vs
Tue, Jan 19 · 05:45 PM UTC
Atlético Madrid›
What is at stake
Champions League connects clubs from different domestic leagues.

Check the phase before reading the score: league-phase points, two-leg aggregate scores and one-match knockouts create different incentives.

Model view
45%
22%
33%
BODDrawAM
expected goals
2.09–1.78
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
BOD ↓AM →
012340
2
4
3
2
1
1
4
8
7
4
2
2
5
8
7
4
2
3
3
6
5
3
1
4
2
3
3
2
1
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
BOD
ATT XG+0.94
DEF XGA-0.27
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
AM
ATT XG+0.62
DEF XGA+0.91
FORM+1.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
Champions League · League phase · 2026-27
BOD v AM
Recognise Bodo/Glimt’s players →Recognise Atlético Madrid’s players →
Bodo/Glimt›
vs
Tue, Jan 19 · 05:45 PM UTC
Atlético Madrid›
What is at stake
Champions League connects clubs from different domestic leagues.

Check the phase before reading the score: league-phase points, two-leg aggregate scores and one-match knockouts create different incentives.

Model view
45%
22%
33%
BODDrawAM
expected goals
2.09–1.78
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
BOD ↓AM →
012340
2
4
3
2
1
1
4
8
7
4
2
2
5
8
7
4
2
3
3
6
5
3
1
4
2
3
3
2
1
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
BOD
ATT XG+0.94
DEF XGA-0.27
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
AM
ATT XG+0.62
DEF XGA+0.91
FORM+1.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG