◆
MPFC
⚙
WED, OCT 21
Champions League · League phase · 2026-27
BOD v LL
Bodo/Glimt›
vs
Tue, Nov 24 · 05:45 PM UTC
LASK Linz›
What is at stake
Champions League connects clubs from different domestic leagues.

Check the phase before reading the score: league-phase points, two-leg aggregate scores and one-match knockouts create different incentives.

Model view
85%
8%
7%
BODDrawLL
expected goals
4.86–1.56
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
BOD ↓LL →
012340
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
0
2
2
3
2
1
0
3
3
5
4
2
1
4
4
6
5
2
1
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
BOD
ATT XG+0.94
DEF XGA-0.27
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
LL
ATT XG+0.10
DEF XGA-4.53
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
Champions League · League phase · 2026-27
BOD v LL
Bodo/Glimt›
vs
Tue, Nov 24 · 05:45 PM UTC
LASK Linz›
What is at stake
Champions League connects clubs from different domestic leagues.

Check the phase before reading the score: league-phase points, two-leg aggregate scores and one-match knockouts create different incentives.

Model view
85%
8%
7%
BODDrawLL
expected goals
4.86–1.56
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
BOD ↓LL →
012340
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
0
2
2
3
2
1
0
3
3
5
4
2
1
4
4
6
5
2
1
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
BOD
ATT XG+0.94
DEF XGA-0.27
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
LL
ATT XG+0.10
DEF XGA-4.53
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG