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MPFC
⚙
WED, OCT 21
Champions League · League phase · 2026-27
PE v CB
PSV Eindhoven›
vs
Wed, Nov 4 · 08:00 PM UTC
Club Brugge›
What is at stake
Champions League connects clubs from different domestic leagues.

Check the phase before reading the score: league-phase points, two-leg aggregate scores and one-match knockouts create different incentives.

Model view
66%
15%
19%
PEDrawCB
expected goals
3.53–1.97
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
PE ↓CB →
012340
0
1
1
1
0
1
1
3
3
2
1
2
3
5
5
3
2
3
3
6
6
4
2
4
3
5
5
3
2
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
PE
ATT XG+1.63
DEF XGA+0.31
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
CB
ATT XG+1.65
DEF XGA-1.00
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
Champions League · League phase · 2026-27
PE v CB
PSV Eindhoven›
vs
Wed, Nov 4 · 08:00 PM UTC
Club Brugge›
What is at stake
Champions League connects clubs from different domestic leagues.

Check the phase before reading the score: league-phase points, two-leg aggregate scores and one-match knockouts create different incentives.

Model view
66%
15%
19%
PEDrawCB
expected goals
3.53–1.97
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
PE ↓CB →
012340
0
1
1
1
0
1
1
3
3
2
1
2
3
5
5
3
2
3
3
6
6
4
2
4
3
5
5
3
2
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
PE
ATT XG+1.63
DEF XGA+0.31
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
CB
ATT XG+1.65
DEF XGA-1.00
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG