◆
MPFC
⚙
WED, OCT 21
Champions League · League phase · 2026-27
LEN v COM
Lens›
vs
Wed, Nov 4 · 08:00 PM UTC
Como›
What is at stake
Champions League connects clubs from different domestic leagues.

Check the phase before reading the score: league-phase points, two-leg aggregate scores and one-match knockouts create different incentives.

Model view
42%
24%
34%
LENDrawCOM
expected goals
1.74–1.54
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
LEN ↓COM →
012340
4
6
4
2
1
1
7
10
8
4
2
2
6
9
7
3
1
3
3
5
4
2
1
4
1
2
2
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
LEN
ATT XG+0.68
DEF XGA+0.49
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
COM
ATT XG+0.67
DEF XGA+1.38
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
Champions League · League phase · 2026-27
LEN v COM
Lens›
vs
Wed, Nov 4 · 08:00 PM UTC
Como›
What is at stake
Champions League connects clubs from different domestic leagues.

Check the phase before reading the score: league-phase points, two-leg aggregate scores and one-match knockouts create different incentives.

Model view
42%
24%
34%
LENDrawCOM
expected goals
1.74–1.54
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
LEN ↓COM →
012340
4
6
4
2
1
1
7
10
8
4
2
2
6
9
7
3
1
3
3
5
4
2
1
4
1
2
2
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
LEN
ATT XG+0.68
DEF XGA+0.49
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
COM
ATT XG+0.67
DEF XGA+1.38
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG