◆
MPFC
⚙
WED, OCT 21
Champions League · League phase · 2026-27
FP v NAP
Recognise FC Porto’s players →Recognise Napoli’s players →
FC Porto›
vs
Wed, Nov 4 · 08:00 PM UTC
Napoli›
What is at stake
Champions League connects clubs from different domestic leagues.

Check the phase before reading the score: league-phase points, two-leg aggregate scores and one-match knockouts create different incentives.

Model view
58%
24%
18%
FPDrawNAP
expected goals
1.87–0.97
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
FP ↓NAP →
012340
6
6
3
1
0
1
11
11
5
2
0
2
10
10
5
2
0
3
6
6
3
1
0
4
3
3
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
FP
ATT XG+0.56
DEF XGA+1.59
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
NAP
ATT XG-0.06
DEF XGA+0.99
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
Champions League · League phase · 2026-27
FP v NAP
Recognise FC Porto’s players →Recognise Napoli’s players →
FC Porto›
vs
Wed, Nov 4 · 08:00 PM UTC
Napoli›
What is at stake
Champions League connects clubs from different domestic leagues.

Check the phase before reading the score: league-phase points, two-leg aggregate scores and one-match knockouts create different incentives.

Model view
58%
24%
18%
FPDrawNAP
expected goals
1.87–0.97
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
FP ↓NAP →
012340
6
6
3
1
0
1
11
11
5
2
0
2
10
10
5
2
0
3
6
6
3
1
0
4
3
3
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
FP
ATT XG+0.56
DEF XGA+1.59
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
NAP
ATT XG-0.06
DEF XGA+0.99
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG