◆
MPFC
⚙
WED, OCT 21
Champions League · League phase · 2026-27
FEN v LIV
Fenerbahce›
vs
Wed, Nov 4 · 05:45 PM UTC
Liverpool›
What is at stake
Champions League connects clubs from different domestic leagues.

Check the phase before reading the score: league-phase points, two-leg aggregate scores and one-match knockouts create different incentives.

Model view
24%
24%
52%
FENDrawLIV
expected goals
1.19–1.83
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
FEN ↓LIV →
012340
5
9
8
5
2
1
6
11
10
6
3
2
3
6
6
4
2
3
1
3
2
1
1
4
0
1
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
FEN
ATT XG-0.92
DEF XGA-0.23
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
LIV
ATT XG+0.78
DEF XGA+0.98
FORM+1.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
Champions League · League phase · 2026-27
FEN v LIV
Fenerbahce›
vs
Wed, Nov 4 · 05:45 PM UTC
Liverpool›
What is at stake
Champions League connects clubs from different domestic leagues.

Check the phase before reading the score: league-phase points, two-leg aggregate scores and one-match knockouts create different incentives.

Model view
24%
24%
52%
FENDrawLIV
expected goals
1.19–1.83
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
FEN ↓LIV →
012340
5
9
8
5
2
1
6
11
10
6
3
2
3
6
6
4
2
3
1
3
2
1
1
4
0
1
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
FEN
ATT XG-0.92
DEF XGA-0.23
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
LIV
ATT XG+0.78
DEF XGA+0.98
FORM+1.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG