◆
MPFC
⚙
WED, OCT 21
Champions League · League phase · 2026-27
CB v LEN
Club Brugge›
vs
Wed, Oct 21 · 07:00 PM UTC
Lens›
What is at stake
Champions League connects clubs from different domestic leagues.

Check the phase before reading the score: league-phase points, two-leg aggregate scores and one-match knockouts create different incentives.

Model view
51%
19%
30%
CBDrawLEN
expected goals
2.64–2.05
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
CB ↓LEN →
012340
1
2
2
1
1
1
2
5
5
3
2
2
3
7
7
5
2
3
3
6
6
4
2
4
2
4
4
3
1
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
CB
ATT XG+1.65
DEF XGA-0.98
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
LEN
ATT XG+0.68
DEF XGA+0.47
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
Champions League · League phase · 2026-27
CB v LEN
Club Brugge›
vs
Wed, Oct 21 · 07:00 PM UTC
Lens›
What is at stake
Champions League connects clubs from different domestic leagues.

Check the phase before reading the score: league-phase points, two-leg aggregate scores and one-match knockouts create different incentives.

Model view
51%
19%
30%
CBDrawLEN
expected goals
2.64–2.05
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
CB ↓LEN →
012340
1
2
2
1
1
1
2
5
5
3
2
2
3
7
7
5
2
3
3
6
6
4
2
4
2
4
4
3
1
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
CB
ATT XG+1.65
DEF XGA-0.98
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
LEN
ATT XG+0.68
DEF XGA+0.47
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG