Champions League · League phase · 2026-27
What happened
Fenerbahce 2–2 Slavia Prague.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
FENDrawSP
expected goals
2.20–0.90
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 20% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
FEN ↓SP →
012340
5
4
2
1
0
110
9
4
1
0
211
10
4
1
0
38
7
3
1
0
44
4
2
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
FEN
ATT XG-0.88
DEF XGA-0.74
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
SP
ATT XG-1.18
DEF XGA-2.15
FORM-1.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG