Champions League · League phase · 2026-27
What happened
Shakhtar Donetsk 3–1 AEK Athens.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
SDDrawAA
expected goals
0.56–0.56
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 27% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
SD ↓AA →
012340
33
18
5
1
0
118
10
3
1
0
25
3
1
0
0
31
1
0
0
0
40
0
0
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals