Champions League · League phase · 2026-27
What happened
Viking FK 3–3 Bayern Munich.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
VFDrawFCB
expected goals
1.31–3.52
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 12% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
VF ↓FCB →
012340
1
3
5
6
5
11
4
6
8
7
21
2
4
5
4
30
1
2
2
2
40
0
1
1
1
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
VF
ATT XG+1.42
DEF XGA-1.19
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
FCB
ATT XG+3.03
DEF XGA+1.13
FORM+1.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG