Champions League · League phase · 2026-27
What happened
Internazionale 3–4 Club Brugge.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
INTDrawCB
expected goals
3.54–1.24
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 9% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
INT ↓CB →
012340
1
1
1
0
0
13
4
2
1
0
25
7
4
2
1
36
8
5
2
1
45
7
4
2
1
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
INT
ATT XG+1.54
DEF XGA+1.25
FORM+0.67
AVAIL0.00
CB
ATT XG+1.65
DEF XGA-1.00
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG