Champions League · League phase · 2026-27
What happened
Sabah FK 2–0 Slavia Prague.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
SFDrawSP
expected goals
1.00–1.74
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 21% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
SF ↓SP →
012340
6
11
10
6
2
16
11
10
6
2
23
6
5
3
1
31
2
2
1
0
40
0
0
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
SF
ATT XG-1.74
DEF XGA+0.05
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
SP
ATT XG-1.44
DEF XGA-2.41
FORM-1.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG