◆
MPFC
⚙
WED, OCT 21
Categoría Primera A · Clausura · 2026
OC v AF
Once Caldas›
vs
Wed, Oct 28 · 11:00 PM UTC
Alianza FC›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Categoría Primera A.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Model view
68%
19%
13%
OCDrawAF
expected goals
2.25–0.88
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
OC ↓AF →
012340
4
4
2
0
0
1
10
9
4
1
0
2
11
10
4
1
0
3
8
7
3
1
0
4
5
4
2
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
OC
ATT XG-0.04
DEF XGA+0.61
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
AF
ATT XG-1.08
DEF XGA-0.56
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
Categoría Primera A · Clausura · 2026
OC v AF
Once Caldas›
vs
Wed, Oct 28 · 11:00 PM UTC
Alianza FC›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Categoría Primera A.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Model view
68%
19%
13%
OCDrawAF
expected goals
2.25–0.88
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
OC ↓AF →
012340
4
4
2
0
0
1
10
9
4
1
0
2
11
10
4
1
0
3
8
7
3
1
0
4
5
4
2
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
OC
ATT XG-0.04
DEF XGA+0.61
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
AF
ATT XG-1.08
DEF XGA-0.56
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG