◆
MPFC
⚙
WED, OCT 21
Categoría Primera A · Clausura · 2026
NAC v IM
Recognise Atlético Nacional’s players →Recognise Independiente Medellín’s players →
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Categoría Primera A.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Model view
70%
17%
13%
NACDrawIM
expected goals
2.55–1.00
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
NAC ↓IM →
012340
3
3
1
0
0
1
7
7
4
1
0
2
9
9
5
2
0
3
8
8
4
1
0
4
5
5
3
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
NAC
ATT XG+0.94
DEF XGA+1.53
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
IM
ATT XG+0.01
DEF XGA+0.02
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
Categoría Primera A · Clausura · 2026
NAC v IM
Recognise Atlético Nacional’s players →Recognise Independiente Medellín’s players →
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Categoría Primera A.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Model view
70%
17%
13%
NACDrawIM
expected goals
2.55–1.00
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
NAC ↓IM →
012340
3
3
1
0
0
1
7
7
4
1
0
2
9
9
5
2
0
3
8
8
4
1
0
4
5
5
3
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
NAC
ATT XG+0.94
DEF XGA+1.53
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
IM
ATT XG+0.01
DEF XGA+0.02
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG