◆
MPFC
⚙
WED, OCT 21
Categoría Primera A · Clausura · 2026
BCF v AB
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Categoría Primera A.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Model view
22%
26%
52%
BCFDrawAB
expected goals
0.96–1.61
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
BCF ↓AB →
012340
8
12
10
5
2
1
7
12
10
5
2
2
4
6
5
2
1
3
1
2
1
1
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
BCF
ATT XG-1.42
DEF XGA-0.55
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
AB
ATT XG+0.02
DEF XGA+1.09
FORM+1.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
Categoría Primera A · Clausura · 2026
BCF v AB
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Categoría Primera A.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Model view
22%
26%
52%
BCFDrawAB
expected goals
0.96–1.61
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
BCF ↓AB →
012340
8
12
10
5
2
1
7
12
10
5
2
2
4
6
5
2
1
3
1
2
1
1
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
BCF
ATT XG-1.42
DEF XGA-0.55
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
AB
ATT XG+0.02
DEF XGA+1.09
FORM+1.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG