Categoría Primera A · Clausura · 2026
What happened
Cúcuta Deportivo 1–0 Atlético Nacional.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
CDDrawNAC
expected goals
1.20–2.07
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 21% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
CD ↓NAC →
012340
4
8
8
6
3
15
9
10
7
3
23
6
6
4
2
31
2
2
2
1
40
1
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
CD
ATT XG-0.52
DEF XGA-0.70
FORM+1.00
AVAIL0.00
NAC
ATT XG+0.94
DEF XGA+1.53
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG