Categoría Primera A · Clausura · 2026
What happened
Deportivo Pasto 0–1 Alianza FC.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
DPDrawAF
expected goals
1.91–1.04
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 20% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
DP ↓AF →
012340
5
5
3
1
0
110
10
5
2
0
210
10
5
2
0
36
6
3
1
0
43
3
2
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
DP
ATT XG-0.73
DEF XGA-0.22
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
AF
ATT XG-1.08
DEF XGA-0.56
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG