Categoría Primera A · Clausura · 2026
What happened
Llaneros FC 1–0 Independiente Santa Fe.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
LFDrawISF
expected goals
1.28–1.31
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 35% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
LF ↓ISF →
012340
8
10
6
3
1
110
13
8
4
1
26
8
5
2
1
33
3
2
1
0
41
1
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
LF
ATT XG-0.83
DEF XGA+0.75
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
ISF
ATT XG+0.08
DEF XGA+0.89
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG