Categoría Primera A · Clausura · 2026
What happened
Atlético Bucaramanga 1–1 América de Cali.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
ABDrawADC
expected goals
1.34–1.11
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 29% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
AB ↓ADC →
012340
9
10
5
2
1
112
13
7
3
1
28
9
5
2
0
33
4
2
1
0
41
1
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
AB
ATT XG+0.02
DEF XGA+1.09
FORM+1.00
AVAIL0.00
ADC
ATT XG-0.03
DEF XGA+1.68
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG