Categoría Primera A · Clausura · 2026
What happened
Atlético Bucaramanga 1–1 Águilas Doradas.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
ABDrawÁD
expected goals
2.16–0.92
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 21% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
AB ↓ÁD →
012340
5
4
2
1
0
110
9
4
1
0
211
10
5
1
0
38
7
3
1
0
44
4
2
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
AB
ATT XG+0.02
DEF XGA+1.09
FORM+1.00
AVAIL0.00
ÁD
ATT XG-0.52
DEF XGA-0.08
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG