Categoría Primera A · Clausura · 2026
What happened
América de Cali 1–2 Independiente Medellín.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
ADCDrawIM
expected goals
2.05–0.91
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 15% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
ADC ↓IM →
012340
5
5
2
1
0
111
10
4
1
0
211
10
5
1
0
37
7
3
1
0
44
3
2
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
ADC
ATT XG-0.02
DEF XGA+1.68
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
IM
ATT XG+0.01
DEF XGA+0.02
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG