Categoría Primera A · Clausura · 2026
What happened
Jaguares de Córdoba 3–2 Deportes Tolima.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
JDCDrawDT
expected goals
1.24–1.51
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 31% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
JDC ↓DT →
012340
6
10
7
4
1
18
12
9
5
2
25
7
6
3
1
32
3
2
1
0
41
1
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
JDC
ATT XG-0.58
DEF XGA-1.39
FORM-1.00
AVAIL0.00
DT
ATT XG-0.48
DEF XGA+0.92
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG