Liga MX · 2026
What happened
Guadalajara 1–1 Tigres UANL.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
GUADrawTU
expected goals
1.75–1.03
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 25% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
GUA ↓TU →
012340
6
6
3
1
0
111
11
6
2
1
29
10
5
2
0
36
6
3
1
0
42
2
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
GUA
ATT XG+0.49
DEF XGA+1.24
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
TU
ATT XG-0.16
DEF XGA+0.77
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG