Liga MX · 2026
What happened
Atlético de San Luis 1–2 Santos.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
ADSDrawSAN
expected goals
2.05–1.26
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 23% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
ADS ↓SAN →
012340
4
5
3
1
0
17
9
6
2
1
28
10
6
3
1
35
7
4
2
1
43
3
2
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
ADS
ATT XG-0.19
DEF XGA-0.25
FORM+0.67
AVAIL0.00
SAN
ATT XG0.00
DEF XGA0.00
FORM+1.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG