Liga MX · 2026
What happened
Pumas UNAM 2–3 Atlético de San Luis.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
PUDrawADS
expected goals
2.11–1.11
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 19% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
PU ↓ADS →
012340
4
4
2
1
0
18
9
5
2
1
29
10
5
2
1
36
7
4
1
0
43
4
2
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
PU
ATT XG+0.32
DEF XGA+0.43
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
ADS
ATT XG-0.24
DEF XGA-0.26
FORM+0.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG