Argentine Primera División · 2026
What happened
Independiente Rivadavia 2–2 Tigre.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
IRDrawTIG
expected goals
1.57–1.17
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 26% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
IR ↓TIG →
012340
6
8
4
2
1
110
12
7
3
1
28
9
5
2
1
34
5
3
1
0
42
2
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
IR
ATT XG+0.24
DEF XGA+0.02
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
TIG
ATT XG-0.48
DEF XGA+0.88
FORM-1.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG