Argentine Primera División · 2026
What happened
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 2–1 Aldosivi.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
EDRDrawALD
expected goals
0.84–0.94
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 30% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
EDR ↓ALD →
012340
17
16
7
2
1
114
13
6
2
0
26
6
3
1
0
32
2
1
0
0
40
0
0
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
EDR
ATT XG-1.78
DEF XGA-0.18
FORM-1.00
AVAIL0.00
ALD
ATT XG-1.29
DEF XGA-0.13
FORM-1.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG