Argentine Primera División · 2026
What happened
Estudiantes de La Plata 1–2 San Lorenzo.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
EDLDrawSL
expected goals
1.15–0.56
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 17% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
EDL ↓SL →
012340
18
10
3
1
0
121
12
3
1
0
212
7
2
0
0
35
3
1
0
0
41
1
0
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
EDL
ATT XG-0.50
DEF XGA+1.61
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
SL
ATT XG-1.16
DEF XGA+1.32
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG